IRAN FIRES ON VESSELS ATTEMPTING PASSAGE IRGC: ships approaching treated as "cooperating with the enemy" TRUMP: "Naval blockade will remain in full force" Strait briefly reopened Friday — re-closed Saturday morning ~20% of global oil trade transits the Strait of Hormuz 21 confirmed IRGC attacks on merchant ships since Feb. 28 Oil prices volatile on closure news China & Turkey-flagged vessels have transited under conditions
Quote of the Day
"The strong do what they can and the weak suffer what they must."
THUCYDIDES · History of the Peloponnesian War
Article of the Day
With a Fragile Ceasefire Under Threat, What Future for the Strait of Hormuz?
The best single piece to understand where things stand. Crisis Group experts Yasmine Farouk, Chris Newton, and Ali Vaez explain why the ceasefire collapsed, what Iran's actual terms are, and what a durable reopening would require. Essential reading.
INTERNATIONAL CRISIS GROUP APR 14, 2026
StraitWatch
Strait of Hormuz Monitor
SATURDAY · APRIL 18, 2026
Independent analysis. Updated daily.
Current Status — Strait of Hormuz
CLOSED

Iran's IRGC re-closed the strait Saturday after a brief ceasefire-linked opening. Iranian gunboats fired on a merchant vessel attempting passage. At least eight tankers turned back as of 10:30 GMT.

SOURCES: AL JAZEERA · PBS NEWSHOUR · AP · APRIL 18, 2026 · 10:45 GMT
Community Poll
Will the Strait of Hormuz be open tomorrow?
Current Results
YES
NO
Be the first to vote
The Strait of Hormuz KEY LOCATIONS · LIVE VIEW
IRGC Naval Base / Iran
Tanker Anchorage / UAE
Oman (neutral)
Shipping Lane
Today's Coverage SATURDAY · APRIL 18, 2026 · DIVERSE VIEWPOINTS
By the Numbers
Seeking op-eds & editorials — Submit yours
Strait of Hormuz — Key Stats
  • Global oil trade~20%
  • Global LNG~20%
  • Barrels/day (Q1 2025)20.1M
  • Closed sinceFeb 28, 2026
  • IRGC ship attacks21 confirmed
  • Width at narrowest~33 km
Why It Matters
The Strait of Hormuz is the world's most critical oil chokepoint — the sole maritime passage from the Persian Gulf to open ocean. Saudi Arabia, Iraq, UAE, Kuwait, and Iran all export through it. Very few alternatives exist if it stays closed.
Who Can Transit

Per IRGC conditions, April 2026:

✅ Chinese-flagged vessels

✅ Turkish / Muslim-owned ships

✅ Neutral commercial (with coordination)

🚫 U.S.-linked vessels

🚫 Israeli-linked vessels

🚫 Western-allied ships

Editor's Analysis
What No One Is Telling You
This isn't just an oil crisis. It's a food crisis in slow motion.
The Strait carries not only oil and LNG but enormous volumes of fertilizer — the inputs that feed the world's spring planting season. The International Crisis Group notes global fertilizer prices could run 15–20% higher in the first half of 2026 if the closure continues. That means food inflation — hitting the world's poorest hardest — will arrive months after the energy shock, and with less warning.
The US munitions problem nobody wants to say out loud.
CSIS analysts noted before this campaign began that US precision munitions stocks — Tomahawks, JASSMs, interceptors — were already drawn down by Ukraine resupply and prior Middle East operations. Sustaining the current operational tempo for weeks carries real risk of constraining US options in a simultaneous contingency. The most critical of those: Taiwan.
China is the only major power winning right now — without firing a shot.
Beijing continues to buy Iranian oil at a steep discount, transit the Strait under IRGC approval, and watch as US munitions and credibility erode. The longer this drags, the stronger China's hand in future negotiations over Taiwan, trade, and the dollar's reserve status. The war is costing the US far more in strategic terms than the daily headlines suggest.
Editor's analysis — sources available on request · wwiidf.info@gmail.com
Resources & Further Reading

About StraitWatch

StraitWatch is an independent monitor tracking the operational status of the Strait of Hormuz — the world's most consequential energy chokepoint. In a fast-moving crisis, we cut through the noise with a single clear answer: open or closed, updated daily from verified sources, with curated links to the best available coverage.

StraitWatch is not affiliated with any government, military, or financial institution. Views expressed are those of the editor alone.

About the Editor

Gregory McNiff

Gregory McNiff is a Managing Director in the New York office of the Blueshirt Group, with more than 25 years of experience in technology and telecom. Prior to Blueshirt, he was a sell-side equity research analyst at Nomura covering communications infrastructure, and has worked in early-stage venture capital, investment banking, and corporate strategy.

Greg has been drawn to military history since first reading Thucydides' History of the Peloponnesian War in high school, and is consistently fascinated by the scale of World War II and the depth of human drama it produced. He also founded and runs the World War II Discussion Forum, a free public lecture series featuring leading military historians.

MBA — University of Chicago Booth School of Business
M.Litt., Shakespeare Studies — University of St Andrews
B.A., Classical Languages — Columbia University
Managing Director — Blueshirt Group, New York